Scenarios — quick playbooks

When an incident starts and you need to act in 15 seconds, a 30,000-word deep-dive guide is the wrong tool. A scenario quick-playbook gives you a time-stamped decision tree for one specific incident and routes you into Foundation depth when you need it.

A scenario playbook is short on purpose (3,000–6,000 words, depending on criticality), specific on purpose (one named precipitating event, not "what if everything goes wrong"), and time-bounded on purpose (the response arc fits inside 72 hours). It is not a substitute for Foundation pages or deep-dive Guides — it's an entry surface for in-incident decision-making that routes outward.

If you're not currently in an incident, you may still find the playbooks useful: the printable summary in each one is designed to print to a single 8.5"×11" sheet for a kitchen drawer, a vehicle glovebox, or a workshop wall.

How to use a playbook

A playbook is organized into five time-stamps:

  • T+0 to T+15 minutes — Stabilize: What to do right now. Stop the active hazard.
  • T+15 minutes to T+1 hour — Triage and contain: Inventory what you have. Decide who needs what.
  • T+1 to T+6 hours — Sustain: Establish a routine that runs without thinking.
  • T+6 to T+24 hours — Plan for the night: Pre-position for the first night. Sleep matters.
  • T+24 to T+72 hours — Maintain or escalate: Sustain the rhythm. Make the relocate-or-stay call deliberately.

Each time-stamp section has a goal, decision criteria for when to branch, an action list, and named failure modes. Cross-Foundation routing tables at the end of each playbook link to deeper references on every action.

Available playbooks

Utility outage scenarios

  • Water main break — Your street's water main just broke and pressure has dropped to zero. The 72-hour plan for drinking, hygiene, cooking, and protecting plumbing. ~4,800 words.
  • 72-hour winter outage — Grid power is out in subfreezing weather with a 1–3 day restoration estimate. Warm room setup, pipe protection, food preservation, and the carbon-monoxide rules that keep people alive. ~6,000 words. Life-safety.

Medical event scenarios

  • No power + medical-device household — Power is out and someone in the house depends on CPAP, oxygen, dialysis, refrigerated medication, or a powered wheelchair. Backup power triage, cold-chain workflow, and the relocation triggers that protect the patient. ~5,500 words. Life-safety.

Coming next (queued in BACKLOG)

These playbooks are queued behind the pilot validation. Once the 3 pilots above pass their post-launch reader-pass, the library expansion begins:

  • Apartment lockdown (3–7 day)
  • 2-week supply-chain disruption
  • Summer heat dome (no power)
  • Wildfire evacuation 6-hour notice
  • Hurricane shelter-in-place 96-hr
  • Household water contamination boil notice
  • Cyber-incident financial outage (banking/payment systems down 72-hr)
  • Severe medical event (CPR-to-ER 30-min)
  • Child-lost-in-public 0–30 min response
  • Neighbor medical emergency

If you have an incident type that should be on this list, the way to surface it is by raising the topic in feedback or community channels — most additions to this library come from real incidents readers have lived through.

How this differs from the rest of Survipedia

Content type Length Audience moment Examples
Foundation pages 1,500–4,000 words Reader is planning, reading reference, learning water/storage.md, medical/wounds.md, energy/generators.md
Guides 25,000–35,000 words Reader is planning their household resilience over months guides/first-30-days.md, guides/grid-down-survival.md, guides/homestead-blueprint.md
Scenarios (this section) 3,000–6,000 words Reader is in the incident, needs to act now All pages in this section

A reader landing on a playbook for the first time mid-incident should not need to click out to understand what to do in the first 60 seconds. A reader landing on the same playbook between incidents (e.g., to print the summary) should find that the cross-Foundation routing fills in the deeper preparation context they need.

The format spec

Authors and contributors: the spec defining what makes a scenario quick-playbook is at SCENARIO-PLAYBOOK-FORMAT.md at the root of the repository. It defines: which topics qualify as scenarios, the mandatory section order, the word-count contract, the front-matter requirements, the production workflow, and the pilot acceptance criteria. The current version is v1.1 (May 2026), status stable — graduated from pilot on 2026-05-20 after the reader pass verified all 3 pilot playbooks at WORKING.

  • Scenario planning methodology — How to think about scenarios before any specific incident hits. Complements but does not replace the operational playbooks here.
  • Threats Overview — Threat-specific deep references (each threat page covers a specific hazard at depth).
  • Guides Overview — Cross-Foundation deep-dive playbooks for longer arcs.
  • Preparedness self-assessment — 10-minute scorecard that identifies your weakest 3 Foundations and routes you to the right starting page.

Last reviewed: 2026-05-20 · Hub-page format. Each playbook follows the SCENARIO-PLAYBOOK-FORMAT.md v1.1 spec.